Consumer / Baby Care
Coterie
MOIC
4.0x
Base upside
1.5x
Bull upside
2.8x
Conviction
- Driver:
- Mammoth acq $1B+; Dec dist $503K; H1'26 EBITDA $42.0M banked — FY26 tracking ~$88M vs $80M earnout threshold; IPO 1H 2027
- Risk:
- Lume/Mando -21.5% YoY gating IPO; Mammoth H1 net loss; thin ex-tariff margin gain